Global PV installed capacity is estimated to 13.6GW in 2010

Global PV installed capacity is estimated to 13.6GW in 2010




Abstract: 2009 end of the world's photovoltaic (PV) market maintained the strong momentum into 2010, iSuppli Corporation to promote solar energy installed capacity forecast for this year significantly increased to 13.6GW.

The end of 2009 the global photovoltaic (PV) market to maintain the strong momentum into 2010, iSuppli Corporation to promote solar energy installed capacity forecast for this year significantly increased to 13.6GW.

iSuppli's previous forecast PV installed capacity in 2010 is 8.3GW. The new estimate is equivalent to growth of 92.9% compared with 2009. By 2011, global PV installed capacity will grow to about three times in 2009, up from 7.0GW to 20.3GW.

PV installed capacity this year, the market will ebb. First quarter of 2010, due to the adverse effects of the winter elements, capacity may be lower than the fourth quarter of 2009. However, the second quarter is expected to usher in the global photovoltaic industry will install the climax. Germany in July starting from the lower electricity price policy (FIT) rate, the consumer will drive change in the policy before the installation of photovoltaic systems. The third-quarter market correction will occur, but because other countries FIT in the January 2011 deadline, the fourth quarter is expected to installation activities will substantially increase.

The second half of the main factors driving the market, home owners and project developers will continue to enjoy favorable return on investment (ROI). ROI in the second half of 2010 will reflect the FIT system can compensate for lower prices. In some cases, ROI will remain at 10%. 2009 solar module prices down, are just now being reflected in the price system to promote the system and lower prices.

Clearly, the quarter of the market volatility, will PV supply chain and production planners to create difficulties, difficult to determine the needs of their size, location and timing of demand for the demand.

Possible shortage?

With the PV installed capacity in 2010 raised its forecast for 13.6GW, may experience material supply constraints this year. Power inverter module may also spot shortages, may suppress the market growth rate.

May not be enough because the installation of officers trained to meet the large number of installation needs. Install the bandwidth problem may also occur.

Outlook 2011, or may experience more supply constraints. According to iSuppli, the enterprise capacity of notice, unless the additional expansion of production capacity, or crystalline silicon modules may be in short supply in 2011. iSuppli believes, crystalline silicon modules in 2010 the plant capacity utilization will rise to 90%. In addition, many front-line of crystalline silicon modules and the battery supplier's products will be out of stock. The second and third tier module supplier's current business is also growing in Germany, struggling to supply its required modules.



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